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Geography · Lessons

Interpret an urban-growth pattern

A city's growth can look like a simple upward line until you ask whether the change is in area, in percentage or in direction.

On this page
  1. How do you interpret step by step?
  2. Worked example
  3. The mistake to watch for
  4. Self-check
  5. Where does this lead next?

To interpret an urban-growth pattern, describe the change in numbers, compare the periods and then describe where on the map the change happens. It appears with maps, satellite-style images and tables in population and settlement evidence.

How do you interpret step by step?

  1. Name the measure and unit, for example built-up area in km².
  2. Find the change for each period, in absolute terms.
  3. Work out the percentage change if the question asks you to compare.
  4. Identify the fastest and slowest periods.
  5. Describe the shape on the map: direction, routes followed, edges.
  6. Add a limit: the data may not show why growth happened.

Worked example

Invented data for City E, built-up area.

YearBuilt-up area (km²)
199040
200055
201090
2020110

Absolute change: 1990 to 2000: 15 km². 2000 to 2010: 35 km². 2010 to 2020: 20 km².

Percentage change 2000 to 2010: 35 ÷ 55 = 0.6364, so 63.6%.

Per year, 2000 to 2010: 35 ÷ 10 = 3.5 km² per year.

Over the whole period: 110 − 40 = 70 km², and 70 ÷ 40 = 1.75, so 175% growth.

Description: “City E’s built-up area grew fastest between 2000 and 2010, by 35 km² or 63.6%. Growth then slowed to 20 km² in 2010 to 2020.” Suppose the map shows new buildings along the northern road. Then add: “New housing is stretched along the northern road, a ribbon pattern.”

The mistake to watch for

Mistaken answer: “The city grew steadily because the line always goes up.”

The line rises in every period, but the amounts differ: 15, 35 and 20 km². “Steadily” claims equal steps.

Correction: give the change for each period and say which is largest. Use “steadily” only if the changes are close to equal.

Self-check

1. Using City E, work out the percentage change from 1990 to 2000.

Show answer 15 ÷ 40 = 0.375, so 37.5%.

2. And from 2010 to 2020?

Show answer 20 ÷ 90 = 0.2222, so 22.2%.

3. In which period was the absolute change largest and in which was the percentage change largest?

Show answer Both were largest in 2000 to 2010: 35 km² and 63.6%, compared with 15 km² and 37.5%, and 20 km² and 22.2%.

Where does this lead next?

Growth figures are a kind of average over a whole city, so the next lesson asks what an average can hide. Continue with distinguishing an average from a distribution.

Earlier work on comparing settlement functions helps explain why growth takes place. For support with your own answers, see IGCSE Geography one-to-one tuition.

Questions people ask

What is the difference between absolute and percentage change?

Absolute change is the actual difference, such as 35 km². Percentage change compares that difference with the starting value, so 35 ÷ 55 × 100 is about 63.6%. A large absolute change can be a small percentage if the starting value was large.

How do I describe a pattern of urban growth on a map?

Say where the growth is, using compass directions or named features, and how it is shaped. For example, growth stretching along a main road is called ribbon development. Then give a figure for the area and the dates it covers.

Does urban growth always mean population growth?

Not always. Built-up area can expand faster or slower than population, for instance when people move into lower-density housing. Use the evidence given and name which of the two, area or population, your figures describe.

Updated:

Your next step

If you can see growth in a graph but struggle to describe it with figures, a one-to-one teacher can practise the wording with your own data sets until it feels natural.

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