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Compare an experimental conclusion with an alternative

A conclusion can match the data and still be only one of several explanations that fit.

On this page
  1. How do I build the comparison?
  2. Worked example
  3. The mistake to watch for
  4. Check yourself
  5. Where this leads next

To compare a conclusion with an alternative, state the conclusion, name a rival explanation that could give the same pattern, then use the method and the data to say which is better supported. Good answers stay tied to numbers.

This lesson is part of investigations and evidence and uses the idea of controlled conditions. The data is invented.

How do I build the comparison?

  1. State the pattern in the data, with numbers.
  2. State the proposed conclusion.
  3. Name one alternative cause and say why it fits the data.
  4. Say what the method does or does not rule out.
  5. Say what extra evidence would separate them.

Worked example

Five plants grew in a bright spot and five in a shaded spot for two weeks. Invented growth in cm:

SpotGrowth of each plant (cm)Mean (cm)
Bright3.9, 4.4, 4.1, 4.3, 4.34.2
Shaded2.6, 3.0, 2.8, 2.9, 2.72.8

Step 1, check the means. Bright: 3.9 + 4.4 + 4.1 + 4.3 + 4.3 = 21.0, and 21.0 ÷ 5 = 4.2. Shaded: 2.6 + 3.0 + 2.8 + 2.9 + 2.7 = 14.0, and 14.0 ÷ 5 = 2.8.

Step 2, state the pattern. The bright plants grew 4.2 − 2.8 = 1.4 cm more on average, and the ranges (3.9 to 4.4 and 2.6 to 3.0) do not overlap.

Step 3, conclusion. Light level affected growth.

Step 4, alternative. The bright spot was nearer a window, so it may also have been warmer. Temperature then explains the same pattern.

Step 5, judge. Temperature was not recorded, so it is not ruled out. The data are consistent with the conclusion but do not exclude the rival. Recording temperature, or placing both sets of plants where it is the same, would separate them.

The mistake to watch for

Mistaken answer: “The alternative is that the experiment was unfair.”

That is a general complaint with no cause named. Give a specific rival factor, show how it could produce the pattern, and say what evidence would test it.

Check yourself

1. Give the difference in means between bright and shaded plants.

Show answer

4.2 − 2.8 = 1.4 cm.

2. Rewrite “light proves growth” with stronger wording.

Show answer

“The data are consistent with light increasing growth, although temperature was not controlled.”

3. What single extra measurement would help separate light from temperature?

Show answer

Record the temperature at each spot, or keep it the same for both.

Where this leads next

The last lesson is about where your own practical work happens: separate examination preparation from practical-centre provision. Then use the investigations practice set.

A teacher in online one-to-one Combined Science tuition can check that your alternatives are specific and tied to the data.

Questions people ask

What is an alternative explanation?

It is a different cause that could produce the same pattern in the data, usually a condition that changed along with the one being tested. Naming it shows you understand why the original conclusion may not be certain.

Should a conclusion say 'proves'?

Usually 'the data support' or 'is consistent with' is more accurate. A single investigation with small samples rarely proves a cause, and examiners expect your wording to match the strength of the evidence.

How do I decide which explanation is stronger?

Look at what the data and the method can rule out. If a controlled condition was fixed, that rival explanation is weaker. If it was not controlled or not recorded, the rival remains possible.

Updated:

Your next step

If you find it hard to write an alternative explanation without drifting off the data, a one-to-one teacher can practise the wording with you on fresh datasets.

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